{
  "record": {
    "id": "PRJ-000001",
    "title": "Dangote East Africa Refinery, Lamu (Dangote, AFC)",
    "type": "PROJECT",
    "stage": 7,
    "status": "CONFIRMED",
    "signal_score": 75.5,
    "confidence_score": 100
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  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "SRC-000062",
      "title": "Honeywell Technologies to Help Dangote Build World’s Largest Single-Train Refinery, Accelerating Project Development Schedule by Two Years",
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      "url": "https://www.honeywell.com/us/en/news/press-releases/2026/09/honeywell-technologies-to-help-dangote-build-worlds-largest-single-train-refinery-accelerating-project-development-schedule-by-two-years",
      "published_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-08T10:43:50.870Z",
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      "excerpt": "Honeywell Technologies to Help Dangote Build World’s Largest Single-Train Refinery, Accelerating Project Development Schedule by Two Years \r\n Who We Are \r\n About Honeywell \r\n Join Honeywell on the Journey to Autonomy \r\n Leadership \r\n Our senior leadership team \r\n Partners \r\n Our partners in deliveri",
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      "title": "Ruto Meets Dangote in New York Over Financing, Final Preparations for Sh2.2tn Lamu Refinery",
      "publisher": "Capital FM Kenya",
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      "level": 3,
      "stance": "SUPPORTS",
      "excerpt": "Ruto Meets Dangote in New York Over Financing, Final Preparations for Sh2.2tn Lamu Refinery – Capital FM Kenya \n Skip to content \n Africa \n News \n Politics \n NATIONAL \n Counties \n Business \n Economy \n Investments in Africa \n Markets \n Technology \n Lifestyle \n The Good Life Cafe \n Dating \n Livi",
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      "id": "SRC-000059",
      "title": "EIL bags over USD 450 million order from Dangote Group for Kenya refinery project",
      "publisher": "The Tribune / ANI",
      "url": "https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/business/eil-bags-over-usd-450-million-order-from-dangote-group-for-kenya-refinery-project",
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      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-08T10:28:13.424Z",
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      "excerpt": "EIL bags over USD 450 million order from Dangote Group for Kenya refinery project - The Tribune \n Subscribe To Print Edition About The Tribune Code Of Ethics Download App Careers Advertise with us Classifieds Gen Z Speak Up ! \n Add Tribune As Your Trusted Source \n Search \n Trending \n Videos \n India ",
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      "id": "SRC-000017",
      "title": "Ruto praises Dangote Lamu refinery project at UN General Assembly",
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      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:15.969Z",
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      "excerpt": "Ruto praises Dangote Lamu refinery project at UN General Assembly \n For You \n News \n Faida Cafe \n Radio \n TV \n Podcasts \n Live Events \n Search \n Ruto praises Dangote Lamu refinery project at UN General Assembly\n By Seth Olale September 22, 2026 07:18 (EAT)\n Add as a Preferred Source on Google Follow",
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      "title": "Ruto sets one-week countdown for Sh2 trillion Lamu refinery",
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      "url": "https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/national/article/2001558537/ruto-sets-one-week-countdown-for-sh2-trillion-lamu-refinery",
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    {
      "id": "SRC-000058",
      "title": "Full Speech: Ruto’s Lamu Address at the Dangote Refinery Groundbreaking",
      "publisher": "The Kenya Times",
      "url": "https://thekenyatimes.com/latest-kenya-times-news/ruto-lamu-address-at-the-dangote-refinery-groundbreaking/",
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      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-08T10:28:12.704Z",
      "level": 3,
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      "excerpt": "Dangote Refinery Groundbreaking 2026: Full Speech By Ruto In Lamu \n Wednesday, October 7, 2026\n News \n Latest News \n Breaking News \n Fact Check \n Investigations \n Explainers \n Politics \n Global Politics \n Elections \n Government & Policy \n Diplomacy \n Conflicts & Security \n Political Analysis \n Busin",
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    {
      "id": "SRC-000057",
      "title": "[PHOTOS] Ruto, Dangote lead groundbreaking of Sh2 trillion Lamu refinery",
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      "url": "https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2026-09-30-photos-ruto-dangote-launch-sh2tn-lamu-refinery",
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      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-08T10:28:11.959Z",
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      "stance": "SUPPORTS",
      "excerpt": "[PHOTOS] Ruto, Dangote lead groundbreaking of Sh2 trillion Lamu refinery E L E C T I O N   2 0 2 7 305 \n 305 \n D A Y S \n 16 \n 16 \n H O U R S \n 38 \n 38 \n M I N S \n news \n counties \n business \n Health \n opinion \n sports \n Siasa \n sasa \n Climate Change \n Auctioneer \n In-pictures \n video \n Classic 105 \n",
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    {
      "id": "SRC-000061",
      "title": "Dangote and Ruto break ground on $16bn Kenyan refinery",
      "publisher": "African Business",
      "url": "https://african.business/2026/10/energy-resources/dangote-and-ruto-break-ground-on-16bn-refinery",
      "published_at": "2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-08T10:28:14.905Z",
      "level": 3,
      "stance": "SUPPORTS",
      "excerpt": "Dangote and Ruto break ground on $16bn Kenyan refinery - African Business \n Dangote and Ruto break ground on $16bn Kenyan refinery - African Business \n Toggle Sidebar \n Subscribe Login \n Finance Business Politics Technology Resources Energy Arts & Culture Innov Africa Deals Opinion Newsletters Digit",
      "content_hash": "cabfadca5a8ac59e6a40a06f35f4cdf4864b70c38a277091cf0113881746221b"
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  ],
  "financial_values": [
    {
      "id": "FIN-000007",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "amount": 16000000000,
      "currency": "USD",
      "usd_normalised": 16000000000,
      "fx_rate": 1,
      "fx_rate_date": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "amount_type": "ESTIMATED_COST",
      "status": "ANNOUNCED",
      "capital_category": null,
      "instrument": null,
      "provider_entity_id": "ORG-000033",
      "recipient_entity_id": null,
      "source_id": "SRC-000058",
      "source_date": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "quote": "Today, we are witnessing the beginning of a generational undertaking: a \n$16 billion (Ksh 2 trillion) petrochemical complex designed to process up to 700,000 barrels of crude oil every day",
      "confidence": 50,
      "superseded_by": null,
      "supersede_reason": null,
      "created_by": "Claude (research update, 8 Oct 2026)",
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:30:46.203Z",
      "source_title": "Full Speech: Ruto’s Lamu Address at the Dangote Refinery Groundbreaking",
      "publisher": "The Kenya Times",
      "source_url": "https://thekenyatimes.com/latest-kenya-times-news/ruto-lamu-address-at-the-dangote-refinery-groundbreaking/",
      "source_level": 3,
      "provider_name": "Dangote Industries",
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    },
    {
      "id": "FIN-000004",
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      "currency": "KES",
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      "fx_rate_date": "2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z",
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      "instrument": null,
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      "recipient_entity_id": null,
      "source_id": "SRC-000018",
      "source_date": "2026-09-21T00:00:00.000Z",
      "quote": "The proposed refinery, estimated at Sh2.2 trillion, is planned for Lamu and is expected to serve markets across East and Central Africa.",
      "confidence": 50,
      "superseded_by": "FIN-000007",
      "supersede_reason": "At the 30 September 2026 groundbreaking Ruto gave the cost as $16bn (KSh2tn), replacing the earlier KSh2.2tn estimate.",
      "created_by": "claude (web intake, approved at owner's request)",
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:20.193Z",
      "source_title": "Ruto Meets Dangote in New York Over Financing, Final Preparations for Sh2.2tn Lamu Refinery",
      "publisher": "Capital FM Kenya",
      "source_url": "https://capitalfm.africa/ruto-meets-dangote-in-new-york-over-financing-final-preparations-for-sh2-2tn-lamu-refinery/",
      "source_level": 3,
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    }
  ],
  "milestones": [
    {
      "id": "MIL-000018",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "ANNOUNCEMENT",
      "description": "Ruto announced the expected groundbreaking of the East Africa refinery while addressing the 81st United Nations General Assembly.",
      "target_date": "2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z",
      "actual_date": "2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "MET",
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      "evidence_required": null,
      "source_id": "SRC-000016",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:20.193Z",
      "responsible_name": null,
      "source_title": "Ruto sets one-week countdown for Sh2 trillion Lamu refinery",
      "source_url": "https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/national/article/2001558537/ruto-sets-one-week-countdown-for-sh2-trillion-lamu-refinery"
    },
    {
      "id": "MIL-000053",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "PROCUREMENT",
      "description": "Dangote Group engaged Engineers India Limited as PMC and EPCM consultant (contract over $450m).",
      "target_date": "2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z",
      "actual_date": "2026-09-22T00:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "MET",
      "responsible_entity_id": "ORG-000033",
      "evidence_required": null,
      "source_id": "SRC-000059",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:30:00.757Z",
      "responsible_name": "Dangote Industries",
      "source_title": "EIL bags over USD 450 million order from Dangote Group for Kenya refinery project",
      "source_url": "https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/business/eil-bags-over-usd-450-million-order-from-dangote-group-for-kenya-refinery-project"
    },
    {
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      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "PROCUREMENT",
      "description": "Dangote selected Honeywell for process technology, licensing, catalysts and equipment (about $300m).",
      "target_date": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "actual_date": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "MET",
      "responsible_entity_id": "ORG-000033",
      "evidence_required": null,
      "source_id": "SRC-000062",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:44:40.624Z",
      "responsible_name": "Dangote Industries",
      "source_title": "Honeywell Technologies to Help Dangote Build World’s Largest Single-Train Refinery, Accelerating Project Development Schedule by Two Years",
      "source_url": "https://www.honeywell.com/us/en/news/press-releases/2026/09/honeywell-technologies-to-help-dangote-build-worlds-largest-single-train-refinery-accelerating-project-development-schedule-by-two-years"
    },
    {
      "id": "MIL-000054",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "REVIEW",
      "description": "Court hearing on the land-compensation case; the court had blocked some development activities pending the hearing.",
      "target_date": "2026-10-14T00:00:00.000Z",
      "actual_date": null,
      "status": "EXPECTED",
      "responsible_entity_id": null,
      "evidence_required": "Court ruling or cause list; reporting on whether site works may continue.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000061",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:30:19.772Z",
      "responsible_name": null,
      "source_title": "Dangote and Ruto break ground on $16bn Kenyan refinery",
      "source_url": "https://african.business/2026/10/energy-resources/dangote-and-ruto-break-ground-on-16bn-refinery"
    },
    {
      "id": "MIL-000055",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "COMPLETION",
      "description": "Dangote pledged to commission the refinery within 40 months of groundbreaking (about January 2030).",
      "target_date": "2030-01-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "actual_date": null,
      "status": "EXPECTED",
      "responsible_entity_id": "ORG-000033",
      "evidence_required": "Commissioning announcement.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000061",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:30:28.618Z",
      "responsible_name": "Dangote Industries",
      "source_title": "Dangote and Ruto break ground on $16bn Kenyan refinery",
      "source_url": "https://african.business/2026/10/energy-resources/dangote-and-ruto-break-ground-on-16bn-refinery"
    },
    {
      "id": "MIL-000056",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "FINANCING",
      "description": "Financing structure and financiers for the $16bn complex; Ruto's groundbreaking speech said financing is still part of the work ahead.",
      "target_date": null,
      "actual_date": null,
      "status": "EXPECTED",
      "responsible_entity_id": null,
      "evidence_required": "Financing agreements or financial close announcement naming lenders and equity.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000058",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:30:37.396Z",
      "responsible_name": null,
      "source_title": "Full Speech: Ruto’s Lamu Address at the Dangote Refinery Groundbreaking",
      "source_url": "https://thekenyatimes.com/latest-kenya-times-news/ruto-lamu-address-at-the-dangote-refinery-groundbreaking/"
    },
    {
      "id": "MIL-000019",
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "milestone_type": "GROUND_BREAKING",
      "description": "Ruto and Aliko Dangote led the groundbreaking in Lamu on 30 September 2026, with Museveni, Abiy Ahmed and the presidents of Togo and Benin attending.",
      "target_date": null,
      "actual_date": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "MET",
      "responsible_entity_id": null,
      "evidence_required": null,
      "source_id": "SRC-000057",
      "confidence": null,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:20.193Z",
      "responsible_name": null,
      "source_title": "[PHOTOS] Ruto, Dangote lead groundbreaking of Sh2 trillion Lamu refinery",
      "source_url": "https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2026-09-30-photos-ruto-dangote-launch-sh2tn-lamu-refinery"
    }
  ],
  "claims": [],
  "gaps": [
    {
      "id": 598,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "PENDING",
      "field": "financing",
      "question": "Who is financing the $16bn complex, and on what terms (equity, AFC, other lenders)?",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:31:31.008Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 599,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "PENDING",
      "field": "land_case",
      "question": "What does the court decide at the 14 October hearing on land compensation, and can site works continue?",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-08T10:31:31.670Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 101,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNCONFIRMED",
      "field": "counterparty_confirmation",
      "question": "The counterparty has not confirmed this in its own publication.",
      "auto": true,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:31.021Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 100,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "financing_structure",
      "question": "How will this be financed (loan, grant, equity, guarantee)?",
      "auto": true,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:31.021Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 112,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "question_1",
      "question": "The source does not identify the project sponsor, financiers, lenders or investors for the refinery.",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:45.464Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 113,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "question_2",
      "question": "The source does not state whether financing has been secured or whether financial close has occurred.",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:45.670Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 114,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "question_3",
      "question": "The source does not identify contractors, procurement status, permits, or implementation partners.",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:45.969Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 115,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "question_4",
      "question": "The source does not provide an exact calendar date for the expected groundbreaking beyond 'in one week'.",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:46.198Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 116,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "question_5",
      "question": "The source does not include confirmation from the United Nations, financiers, contractors, or other project counterparties.",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:46.406Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 117,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "gap_type": "UNKNOWN",
      "field": "question_6",
      "question": "Sources give different values: Sh2.2 trillion (about $17 billion) and $16 billion.",
      "auto": false,
      "resolved": false,
      "created_at": "2026-10-05T09:33:46.612Z"
    }
  ],
  "changes": [
    {
      "id": 6,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "field": "summary",
      "previous_value": "A planned $16 billion, 700,000 barrel-a-day refinery and petrochemical complex in Lamu, led by Aliko Dangote's Dangote Group with the Africa Finance Corporation. At UNGA 81 in New York President Ruto said Kenya would break ground within a week, and he met Dangote and AFC there on financing (21 Sept). Dangote Group engaged India's Engineers India Limited as project management and EPCM consultant under a contract worth over $450 million (22 Sept). Ruto toured Dangote's Lagos refinery on 25 Sept, and he and Dangote broke ground in Lamu on 30 Sept 2026 with the leaders of Uganda, Ethiopia, Togo and Benin attending. Dangote pledged to commission the plant within 40 months. Financing is not yet secured, and a land-compensation case has paused some site works pending a court hearing on 14 October.",
      "new_value": "A planned $16 billion, 700,000 barrel-a-day refinery and petrochemical complex in Lamu, led by Aliko Dangote's Dangote Group with the Africa Finance Corporation. At UNGA 81 in New York President Ruto said Kenya would break ground within a week, and he met Dangote and AFC there on financing (21 Sept). Dangote Group engaged India's Engineers India Limited as project management and EPCM consultant under a contract worth over $450 million (22 Sept). On 30 Sept Honeywell announced it had been selected to supply process technology, licensing, catalysts and equipment, a scope of about $300 million. Ruto toured Dangote's Lagos refinery on 25 Sept, and he and Dangote broke ground in Lamu on 30 Sept 2026 with the leaders of Uganda, Ethiopia, Togo and Benin attending. Dangote pledged to commission the plant within 40 months. Financing is not yet secured, and a land-compensation case has paused some site works pending a court hearing on 14 October.",
      "change_reason": "Honeywell's 30 Sept press release on its role.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000062",
      "changed_by": "Claude (research update, 8 Oct 2026)",
      "changed_at": "2026-10-08T10:45:22.359Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 5,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "field": "summary",
      "previous_value": "The Standard reports that President William Ruto told the 81st United Nations General Assembly in New York that Kenya expects to break ground on an oil refinery in Lamu within a week. The report quotes Ruto saying the refinery would be capable of processing 700,000 barrels of oil a day and would be an investment of approximately 16 billion dollars.",
      "new_value": "A planned $16 billion, 700,000 barrel-a-day refinery and petrochemical complex in Lamu, led by Aliko Dangote's Dangote Group with the Africa Finance Corporation. At UNGA 81 in New York President Ruto said Kenya would break ground within a week, and he met Dangote and AFC there on financing (21 Sept). Dangote Group engaged India's Engineers India Limited as project management and EPCM consultant under a contract worth over $450 million (22 Sept). Ruto toured Dangote's Lagos refinery on 25 Sept, and he and Dangote broke ground in Lamu on 30 Sept 2026 with the leaders of Uganda, Ethiopia, Togo and Benin attending. Dangote pledged to commission the plant within 40 months. Financing is not yet secured, and a land-compensation case has paused some site works pending a court hearing on 14 October.",
      "change_reason": "Updated after the Lagos visit, the EIL contract and the groundbreaking.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000061",
      "changed_by": "Claude (research update, 8 Oct 2026)",
      "changed_at": "2026-10-08T10:31:19.768Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 4,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "field": "title",
      "previous_value": "East Africa Refinery, Lamu (Dangote, AFC)",
      "new_value": "Dangote East Africa Refinery, Lamu (Dangote, AFC)",
      "change_reason": "Name used at the groundbreaking and in coverage since.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000057",
      "changed_by": "Claude (research update, 8 Oct 2026)",
      "changed_at": "2026-10-08T10:31:08.735Z"
    },
    {
      "id": 3,
      "record_id": "PRJ-000001",
      "field": "signal_stage",
      "previous_value": "3",
      "new_value": "7",
      "change_reason": "Groundbreaking held on 30 Sept 2026 and Dangote Group signed a PMC/EPCM contract with Engineers India (over $450m): implementation and procurement have begun. Financing is not yet confirmed, so not stage 8.",
      "source_id": "SRC-000059",
      "changed_by": "Claude (research update, 8 Oct 2026)",
      "changed_at": "2026-10-08T10:30:57.470Z"
    }
  ],
  "exported_at": "2026-10-08T10:53:14.405Z"
}